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A Sudden, Positive Shift in Economic Indicators

The positive economic update below from Patrick Carlisle, Chief Market Analyst at COMPASS, is both excellent and encouraging news for the Lamorinda Real Estate Market. Please take a minute to read it!

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“For the sixth straight week, mortgage rates trended down, as new data indicates that inflationary pressures are receding. The combination of continued economic strength, lower inflation, and lower mortgage rates should likely bring more potential homebuyers into the market.” Freddie Mac (FHLMC)

Stock and bond markets – which greatly impact household wealth, consumer confidence, and interest rates – were generally characterized by deep pessimism in October, but with significant changes in economic indicators such as inflation, and a continued pause in benchmark rate increases by the Fed, financial markets abruptly shifted to enthusiastic optimism in November. That translated into a dramatic plunge in mortgage rates, which has caused mortgage applications to increase over recent weeks.

Since the homebuying process usually takes 30 to 60 days, from loan qualification and making an offer to a closed sale, sales might see a bounce in December, or – since the mid-winter holiday period typically sees the annual low point in new-listing (and thus sales) activity – more likely in early 2024 (subject to these positive trends continuing).

In January 2023, buyer demand saw a substantial rebound due to a similar drop in interest rates in late 2022.

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e are busy prepping listings for market and plan to release our first listings of the year in mid-January. If you would like to take advantage of pent up buyer demand and low inventory, we highly recommend you reach out to us now. As you read last week, we do think the early bird will get the worm in 2024!

Lead REALTOR® | CEO | Dana Green Team at COMPASS Lafayette
Legacy Built. Future Focused. For over 20 years, the Dana Green Team has led Lamorinda real estate...

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