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The Spring Market Is Here. Here's What You Need to Know.

We're currently preparing seven listings for the spring market across multiple price points, with four in Happy Valley alone. In today's market, thoughtful preparation and strategic launch timing aren't optional. They're what drive outcomes. The difference between a good result and a great one comes down to execution: precise pricing, standout presentation, and a marketing strategy that creates urgency from day one. That's the work we do before a home ever hits the market.

What's Happening with Rates

After dipping below 6% last week for the first time in more than three years, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.2% today, a direct response to rising oil prices following the strikes in Iran. 

According to Compass Chief Economist Mike Simonsen, a fundamental shift is underway. For the first time since the pandemic, there are now more U.S. homeowners with mortgages above 6% than those below 3%. That crossover point matters. It means the so-called "lock-in effect" that kept inventory suppressed for the past several years is beginning to loosen. More homeowners are finding it easier to make a move, and that's slowly bringing new options into the market. For buyers, that translates to something we haven't seen in a while: gradually expanding options and a market that's starting to feel more balanced.

Whether you're preparing to sell or watching for the right opportunity to buy, the spring market is shaping up to be one worth paying close attention to.

February Lamorinda InventoryDespite that national trend, inventory across Lamorinda remains notably tight. In February, single-family home inventory dropped significantly year over year in all three communities: Lafayette fell 28%, Orinda declined 34%, and Moraga was down 22%. 

At the luxury level ($3M+), the supply picture is even more constrained. February saw just 5 luxury listings in Lafayette (down 38%), 4 in Orinda (down 43%), and zero in Moraga. 

The takeaway: buyers in the Lamorinda market, especially at the upper end, are competing for a very limited number of homes. For sellers, the window to capture serious buyer attention with a well-prepared listing is wide open.

Buyer Activity Across Lamorinda

Our team is actively working with several qualified buyers across all price points seeking homes throughout the Lamorinda. Our buyers span the full spectrum, from first-time homebuyers with large loans to seasoned luxury buyers making all-cash offers, who are therefore unaffected by interest rates. 

Spring is moving quickly, and the conditions are favorable on both sides of the market. If you're thinking about selling, this is the moment to start the conversation. If you're buying, having the right team working proactively on your behalf matters more than ever when inventory is this limited. Either way, we’re here to help you think it through and move forward with clarity.

Lead REALTOR® | CEO | Dana Green Team at COMPASS Lafayette
Legacy Built. Future Focused. For over 20 years, the Dana Green Team has led Lamorinda real estate...

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